Friday 9th June

Conventional wisdom was always to hold an election in May or October.  The winter is too cold, people will hunker down in their homes.  Summer is too hot, who can be bothered to go out and vote.  Cameron stupidly chose June for the referendum and now May has repeated the error.

But far more fundamental than that was the combination of a terrible campaign run as a personal coronation of Queen Theresa, and a brilliant campaign and hope-filled manifesto by Jeremy Corbyn.  Austerity has not worked, because it was combined with tax-cuts for the wealthy and remember for three years the economy either fell back or stagnated.  If the election had continued for a couple more weeks I believe that Labour would have actually won.

Best situation for Labour will be for the Tories to limp on, screw up Brexit, get that voted down in parliament, a new election in 2019 which Labour will win.  Return to Brussels for more talks and get some sense back into the whole Brexit thing.

Mind you, most of my predictions in the last two years have been proven wrong…